Stocks Muted, Big Week Ahead
For the first time in months, U.S. stock markets experienced little movement last week. The Dow and NASDAQ did have their 5th week of gains in a row, but their increases were small: 0.12% and 0.11%, respectively. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 broke its 4-week winning streak with a 0.22% loss. International Stocks also posted modest returns, gaining 0.47% for the week and the U.S. Aggregate Bond Index gained 0.30%.
What topics were on investors' minds?
Despite the relative lack of market drama last week, investors still had plenty to consider. For example, the following details emerged:
- Conflicting messages came out on trade tension with China.
- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded its forecast for global growth.
- Corporate earnings season continued.
In addition, the longest federal government slowdown in history ended. After 35 days, the House and Senate voted unanimously to reopen the partially closed government. President Trump signed the bill, which includes funding through February 15.
This week could provide far more action in the markets when a number of key details emerge.
What's ahead this week?
These last days of January provide several noteworthy updates, including:
- Federal Reserve Meeting: Most people expect that the Fed will not increase rates this week. However, many investors will be studying how the central bank describes its plans for 2019 and assessment of the economy's strength.
- Corporate Earnings: This week, 126 of the S&P 500 Index companies will release their earnings data. Major reports could help provide insight into everything from U.S. consumers to global industry.
- China Negotiations: Chinese Vice Premier Liu and his delegation are coming to Washington to conduct additional trade discussions. As we have discussed for months, the ongoing tension is affecting markets as investors look for clarity on what may lie ahead.
One data point we may not receive this week is the initial reading of 4th quarter 2018 Gross Domestic Product. This report is one of many affected by the federal government slowdown. Although the government has reopened, we have yet to receive the latest data on retail sales, new home sales, durable goods orders, and more.